it (the Uphu#$!&*SA) will become a big version on of Hungary...edgy nagy magyarorszag! Read project 2025 ... it's all there
November 1, 2024 – Election month
US presidential election:
[Trump – Harris] right now:
NV= -0.1%
PA= +0.4%
WI= -0.8%
MI= -1.1%
NC= +1.3%
GA= +1.8%
AZ= +2.1%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast
If this is a good approximation of the final result, then
Trump – Harris = 281 – 257, Trump wins.
But if Harris flips Pennsylvania, then
Trump – Harris = 262 – 276, Harris wins.
Did you make the effort to listen to Harris? No cowardness.
"The coward Harris did not even address her supporters, but sent a low level operative to tell her gathered supporters…
Looks a lot like Hungary
Every vote counts.
In Hungary, the pool of “eligible voters” is not fool proof by Orban’s design (think of the Transylvanian, Serbian, etc voters)
In the US, it is not fool proof because of the lax state & federal laws.
The federal registration form asks whether you are a citizen, but you do not have to prove it. (although it is a felony if you lie).
https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/Federal_Voter_Registration_ENG.pdf
When you vote in person on election day,
you do not have to show any ID in 15 states,
you do not have to show a photo ID in another 11 states,
you have to show your photo ID only in 24 states,
(but you do not have to be a citizen to have a driver’s license)
For instance, in Pennsylvania or Nevada, you do not have to show any ID to vote.
https://ballotpedia.org/Voter_identification_laws_by_state#Details_by_state
———————
Arguments against a measure to oblige people to prove citizenship are weak in my opinion:
casting ballots with only their drivers’ license, REAL or military ID, and a passport or birth certificate “would be an extreme burden for countless Americans, including military voters, Native voters, people who have changed their names (including tens of millions of American women), the elderly, the young, the poor, and naturalized citizens,” said the House minority whip.
https://news.yahoo.com/news/voters-required-show-proof-citizenship-001320732.html
https://www.npr.org/2024/06/11/nx-s1-4991903/voter-registration-proof-of-citizenship-requirement
It’s getting crazier and crazier …
There was or still is a meeting of Putin lovers in Vienna right now.
Some of the participants:
Austrian FPÖ (Fascist Putin lovers in Austria)
Former German chancellor Gerhard Schröder
The boss of the Swiss right win g Putin-adoringnewspaper “Weltwoche”
And of course:
Orbán Viktor
Are the Hun media reporting on this?
Here more info on the meeting of the Putin populistas:
https://kurier.at/politik/inland/orban-wien-weltwoche-rosenkranz-schroeder-koeppel/402969747
I can’t eat as much as I want to throw up!
The Hungarian budget is in ruins, but government still had $100 million for the “Organization of Turkic States”
https://hvg.hu/itthon/20241101_turk-befektetesi-alap-magyarorszag-nagy-marton-ebx
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organization_of_Turkic_States
All of Orban’s friends are dictators
Turkish North Cyprus is also a friend.
The Hungarian word for tyrant, “zsarnok” comes from the verb “zsarolni” = to blackmail.
Overall the fear of the Democrats relating to proving eligibility to vote in Federal elections is delusional I think. Because the base of the Maga Trump movement is composed of a good number of financially marginalized whites whose own documentation is questionable. The real ID is opposed by many Trump supporters on the basis that it is part of a “deep state” plot to get biometric data for everyone that could make a round up of Maga supporters easier. Really very few Maga supporters seem to have passports either which is also a secure legal document.
Striking people from the voter registration lists can work both ways.
Illinois which will go for Harris where I am registered to vote. Wisconsin is now a far more complex picture.
My wife and I have friends who are active campaigners for Harris in normally heavily Republican Central rural Wisconsin and they are optimistic the Trump victory margin will be reduced in their areas. We shall see in a week.
The funny thing is that Maga supporters who worry about a deep state take over are often, like my self military veterans.
Which means most likely their DNA data is part of their military records. When I told this to some Trump supporters they seemed not to believe me. One said all they have is my blood type, I laughed at him. In fact now soldiers even get iris scanned and of course that data is retained. It’s part of the biometric data base of modern soldiers.
My bank accounts are even linked to facial identification records, what world these Trump supporters are in is beyond me.
“My bank accounts are even linked to facial identification records,”
Be careful, dear Istvan of Chicago ! 🙂
See the Fantomas movies, e.g
this one from 19 minute 40 second:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqwmD5mN7gE
or at 45:00
Banks here have repeatedly been breached. Supposedly the deposits are automatically insured to at least $250,000 at each FDIC-insured bank, Inclusive of hacking.
Basically over here you keep bank deposits below the maximum insured level. But there are even dangers relating to money invested in bonds and US Treasury notes.
Nothing really is fully secure. Many of us have gotten credit surveillance systems that have eyes on our accounts 24 hours a day 7 days a week.
I check my FICO score once a month. It is still 825. 🙂
The fear of the white men can become true. Not because immigrants are in the majority, but women. Outvoted white supremacists, racists, and nationalists is a dream of every democrat.
Hajra Our Women!!!
And here’s the next winner: Maia Sandu
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/nov/03/moldovans-vote-in-presidential-runoff-amid-claims-of-russian-interference
PS: come on tappanch VOTE for A Woman!
Dear Istvan of Chicago,
Whom will you vote for on Tuesday?
In 2020, I cast my vote for Biden into a box at the US embassy in Budapest.
This time, I decided not to vote.
My son just told me: ‘Dad, you taught me that we always have to choose between bad and worse, and vote. And now you contradict yourself” 🙁
You honestly cannot decide between Trump and Harris?
That is a shock for me.
Second round of the presidential election in Moldova.
2173/2219 precincts reporting
Maia Sandu (pro-European): 54.35% (883,921 votes)
Alexandr Stoian-oglo (pro-Russian): 43.65% (742,451 votes)
BUT
ballots cast inside Moldova
Sandu: 660,226 (48.81%)
Stoian-oglo: 692,533 (51.19%)
Ballots from outside Moldova:
Sandu: 81.76% (223,695)
Stoian-oglo: 18.24% (49,918)
Găgăuzia: Stoian-oglo 97.04%
https://pv.cec.md/cec-presidential-results-tour2.html
Final result:
2219/2219 precincts reporting
Maia Sandu (pro-European): 55.33% (929,964 votes)
Alexandr Stoian-oglo (pro-Russian): 44.67% (750,644 votes)
BUT
ballots cast inside Moldova
Sandu: 658,395 (48.67%)
Stoian-oglo: 694,362 (51.33%)
(yes, 1829 votes were moved from Sandu’s to Stoian-oglu’s column)
Ballots from outside Moldova:
Sandu: 82.92% (271,843)
Stoian-oglo: 17.08% (56,008)
x-Soviet Georgia result (3110 out of 3111 precincts)
pro-Russian ruling party: 53.932% (1,120,011 votes) 89 out 150 seat in Parliament
of which
#1 electronic precincts: 2256
pro-Russian ruling party: 53.049% (958,486 votes)
therefore
#2 paper precincts: 854 out of 855 precincts tabulated
pro-Russian ruling party: 59.841% (161,525 votes)
https://results.cec.gov.ge/#/en-us/election_57/tr/dashboard
US presidential election:
[Trump – Harris] right now:
NV= -0.1% —> -0.3%
PA= +0.4% —-> +0.4%
WI= -0.8% —–> -0.7%
MI= -1.1% ——> -0.8%
NC= +1.3% ——> +1.6%
GA= +1.8% ——-> +1.7%
AZ= +2.1% ——–> +2.5%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast
If this is a good approximation of the final result, then
Trump – Harris = 281 – 257, Trump wins.
But if Harris flips Pennsylvania, then
Trump – Harris = 262 – 276, Harris wins.
betting “probability” on polymarket right now:
NV: Trump 63%
PA: Trump 57%
WI: Harris 58%
MI: Harris 60%
NC: Trump 66%
GA: Trump 66%
AZ: Trump 77%
https://polymarket.com/elections
Orban’s almost 10 years old Ermächtigungsgesetz was again extended today.
Originally introduced in 2016 during the big
Middle East —-> Turkey ——> Germany+Sweden
migration,
its extension was justified by Orban first with the CoVid-19 pandemic, then with the Russia-Ukraine war.
https://24.hu/belfold/2024/11/04/rendeleti-kormanyzas-haborus-veszelyhelyzet-orszaggyules/
O1G did already congratulate Trump???
Wrote this to my US friends:
It doesn’t look good …
Putin’s honchos have already been drinking lots of Vodka and Krim champagne.
Now we’ll really be living in interesting times.
PS:
The Chinese rulers must also be happy – but maybe not if Trump really raises taxes for foreign products?
It was obvious that Trump would win by midnight Eastern time in the USA. The coward Harris did not even address her supporters, but sent a low level operative to tell her gathered supporters to go home because the votes were being counted.
Of course by then she knew she lost, early this morning US time all the news services declared Trump the winner.
Since I had sent in comments to Hungarian news from Central Wisconsin about the election up there here was what happened.
I went to bed and of course woke up to Trump being elected.. My poor wife Judy was devastated last night when by about 11 PM it became clear Harris lost.
I will give the Democrats up in central Wisconsin credit. In our little town of Greenwood Harris managed to get out of 603 votes cast 208 votes or 34.5%. Trump got 61.8% of the vote.
So his vote total declined from his last election from 68.2%. I thought the local Democrats would probably do better, but they were wildly optimistic and were telling me just weeks ago Trump’s victory up there would be reduced to about 55% of the votes cast.
I read the Washington Post this morning just after Trump became the consensus winner by all major media projections. I read this article https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/06/trump-election-win-analysis/.
I posted on the subscribers comment section the following:
Dan Balz never of course never answered the original question that was posed in the story’s title “Trump triumphed. But will his presidency be as dark as his campaign?” That is typical for him. The answer is in my opinion it will be yes, it will be every bit as dark as his campaign.
He will without question begin as soon as possible start rounding up undocumented people and expelling them. It will require a massive mobilization of Federal policing resources to attempt do what he has promised to do. It also may involve litigation and he will likely have the backing of the Supreme Court.
I doubt team Trump can maintain a prolonged expulsion effort that will be required to really make it result in a significant percentage decline in undocumented people living and working without permits in the USA. But he will put on a good optically driven campaign.
That’s enough about the USA, obviously this is a great victory for Orban and likely Ukraine could be forced into a very unfavorable ceasefire agreement. I would be interested in your thoughts about how this will impact Hungary.
Orban’s great victory with his good friend Trump https://magyarnemzet.hu/belfold/2024/11/orban-viktor-elarulta-mit-gondol-az-amerikai-valasztas-eredmenyerol I especially liked this Orban quote: “We have several plans that we can implement with President Donald Trump in the coming years.”
Could one plan be returning Transcarpathia or at least part of it to Hungary? After all Orban stuck with Trump when times were tough, doesn’t he deserve a reward?
“The coward Harris did not even address her supporters, but sent a low level operative to tell her gathered supporters to go home because the votes were being counted.”
That is exactly the language we need and will hear from your president for four more years.
Harris will speak later today.
Did you make the effort to listen to Harris?
No cowardness.
US presidential election:
[Trump – Harris]
Average of last polls ===> actual votes
NV= -0.3% ===> + 4.5% (93% of votes counted)
PA= +0.4% ===> + 2.5%
WI= -0.7% ===> + 1.0%
MI= -0.8% ===> + 2.2%
NC= +1.6% ===> + 3.3%
GA= +1.7% ===> + 2.3%
AZ= +2.5% ===> + 4.7% (only 62% of the votes counted)
What is especially horrible that all of the federal “checks and balances” have been erased.
Supreme Court, House, Senate.
Every vote counts.
Looks a lot like Hungary
it (the Uphu#$!&*SA) will become a big version on of Hungary…edgy nagy magyarorszag! Read project 2025 … it’s all there